Bayesian Service Center · PyMC

Operations Decision Dashboard

Interactive decision view generated from the final Bayesian notebook outputs. Toggle theme, inspect KPIs, and review calibration/policy visuals.

Poisson λ

0

Baseline daily demand

Best count model

ZIP

LOO/weight preferred

Student-t μ

0 min

Typical resolution time

Utility-optimal staff

0

Relative cost minimum

Policy explorer

Switch between calibration, staffing utility, and completeness views.

PIT — count models
PIT counts
PIT — continuous models
PIT continuous
Model weights
Weights
Leave-future-out split
LFO
Staffing utility
Utility
Capacity policy
Capacity
SLA coverage
SLA
Weekday hierarchical proxy
Weekday
Executive one-pager
Executive
Completeness matrix
Complete

Utility table

Expected shortfall and relative total cost by staff capacity. Minimum cost at staff level 4.

staff_levelE_shortfallP_shortfallexpected_total_cost
03.0770.95410.770
12.1230.8248.431
21.3000.5896.548
30.7110.3655.487
40.3450.1925.209
50.1530.0905.537
60.0640.0426.222
70.0220.0157.077
80.0060.0058.023